North Carolina St.
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
32  Joanna Thompson JR 19:35
306  Megan Moye FR 20:38
331  Emily Pritt SR 20:41
336  Kaitlyn Kramer SO 20:42
469  Erika Kemp FR 20:53
630  Samantha George SO 21:08
685  Alexa Harvey SO 21:12
738  Samantha Norman SR 21:16
810  Kenyetta Iyevbele JR 21:20
840  Halsey Merritt SR 21:23
1,555  Ryanna Henderson JR 22:07
2,173  Esther Fisher FR 22:46
National Rank #36 of 340
Southeast Region Rank #5 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 10.7%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.2%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 65.8%
Top 10 in Regional 98.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Joanna Thompson Megan Moye Emily Pritt Kaitlyn Kramer Erika Kemp Samantha George Alexa Harvey Samantha Norman Kenyetta Iyevbele Halsey Merritt Ryanna Henderson
Roy Griak Invitational 09/28 792 19:48 20:50 20:56 20:28 20:52 20:58 20:49 21:23 21:39 22:07
Blue Ridge Open 10/18 21:40
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 767 19:33 20:36 20:46 20:33 21:11 21:08 21:17 21:06
ACC Championships 11/01 829 19:37 20:43 20:41 20:59 21:07 21:13 21:36 21:40 21:29 21:05
3 Stripe Invite 11/09 1537
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 647 19:24 20:18 20:20 20:51 20:43 21:00 21:10
NCAA Championship 11/23 19:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 10.7% 25.3 600 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.5
Region Championship 100% 5.1 193 0.1 1.0 20.2 25.1 19.3 14.2 8.9 5.0 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joanna Thompson 98.0% 34.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.4 2.1 1.4 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8
Megan Moye 10.7% 168.8
Emily Pritt 10.7% 177.8
Kaitlyn Kramer 10.7% 179.8
Erika Kemp 10.7% 204.7
Samantha George 10.7% 229.3
Samantha Norman 10.7% 237.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joanna Thompson 5.4 4.3 6.6 8.6 10.9 14.1 15.6 12.7 9.5 6.3 4.3 2.6 2.1 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Megan Moye 38.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.9
Emily Pritt 43.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.3 1.5
Kaitlyn Kramer 43.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.1
Erika Kemp 57.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3
Samantha George 77.4
Samantha Norman 87.0 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 1.0% 100.0% 1.0 1.0 2
3 20.2% 33.0% 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.6 13.5 6.7 3
4 25.1% 10.0% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 22.6 2.5 4
5 19.3% 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 19.0 0.4 5
6 14.2% 0.1% 0.0 14.2 0.0 6
7 8.9% 8.9 7
8 5.0% 5.0 8
9 3.2% 3.2 9
10 1.7% 1.7 10
11 0.8% 0.8 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 10.7% 0.1 1.0 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.3 2.5 89.3 1.1 9.6




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Arizona State 33.7% 1.0 0.3
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
BYU 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 2.0 0.1
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0